SignalMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $40.33 ↓ 3.1% 0th %ile • KXWTI 8.0% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.0% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.0% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 0th in 90d range

Why it matters

Extreme greed regime at 2nd percentile contradicts KXWTI 7.5% probability of oil above $116.99.

Sources

futures